Gold Trend Long H1

Moderate significance

by qkt Labs (house research)

A long-only trend-following Gold strategy on 1-hour bars, with a protective stop and a profit target on every trade. Every figure below comes from a full tick-data run with spread, commission and swap charged.

Approach: Trend following · XAUUSD · H1
Tested on ticks: Jan 1, 2020 → Dec 31, 2025
Publishing checks: 11 of 11 passed
Overfitting guard: 3 variants declared · deflated Sharpe 77%
In-sample, $100k: +16.7% · max drawdown 24.0% · 150 trades
Version: 4, published Oct 6, 2026 · future versions included

Included with the strategy

qkt's Monte Carlo: the strategy's own trades reshuffled 1,000 times, with the worst case, median and best case of the final balance, how deep drawdowns went, and the share of paths that wiped the account out.